Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 7.227482 7.958927 8.739724 9.636475 10.639495 11.728549 13.002858
2025-10-26 5.811075 6.763409 7.845818 9.171933 10.759308 12.606362 14.929886
2025-11-02 4.826886 5.889825 7.164913 8.817748 10.918810 13.520742 17.018273
2025-11-09 4.103764 5.218556 6.620817 8.532212 11.097521 14.460882 19.269655
2025-11-16 3.571523 4.711221 6.206811 8.340125 11.348963 15.507811 21.808879
2025-11-23 3.172954 4.325629 5.897256 8.233994 11.684366 16.694894 24.715230
2025-11-30 2.919094 4.104089 5.778979 8.369333 12.366212 18.455224 28.743180
2025-12-07 2.645333 3.820984 5.536139 8.283264 12.692635 19.708195 32.164576
2025-12-14 2.385322 3.529038 5.245410 8.082390 12.801890 20.615482 35.141336
2025-12-21 2.197924 3.326791 5.067182 8.032289 13.139104 21.929353 39.031135
2025-12-28 2.086158 3.230008 5.041592 8.223368 13.899458 24.066052 44.797786
2026-01-04 1.979244 3.129701 4.998051 8.374709 14.602361 26.188867 50.913991
2026-01-11 1.853544 2.989863 4.879707 8.389758 15.074125 27.977427 56.767108
2026-01-18 1.723361 2.831076 4.714134 8.301132 15.339106 29.404137 62.142595
2026-01-25 1.602192 2.677362 4.543053 8.182834 15.530010 30.708631 67.516038
2026-02-01 1.490885 2.531615 4.372824 8.046947 15.666729 31.918150 72.922311
2026-02-08 1.395789 2.407049 4.229908 7.948216 15.866312 33.292439 79.030422
2026-02-15 1.316291 2.304450 4.118578 7.899936 16.165864 34.935623 86.195980
2026-02-22 1.269876 2.259284 4.111668 8.063685 16.951164 37.833302 97.414662
2026-03-01 1.201028 2.166271 4.003894 8.003456 17.220623 39.529626 105.675095
2026-03-08 1.124936 2.053736 3.848368 7.824341 17.189857 40.471481 111.951199
2026-03-15 1.069955 1.978306 3.760960 7.785118 17.486741 42.301359 121.403654
2026-03-22 1.041905 1.954015 3.775608 7.975539 18.371127 45.841002 137.284497